788 Leveraged Japan Fund Ltd.

 FINAL  NAV and Performance  as at  31 MARCH 2010   NAV  14.84    +34.42 % Year to Date

MANAGER's COMMENTS

JAPAN is finally pulling out of its 20 year debt deflation cycle and is at the beginning of a multi year virtuous cycle that will unfold slowly at first and then more rapidly as infltion comes back into its domestic system, interst rates normalize themselves and the japanese currency starts an extended phase of depreciation against the USD and the RMB.

Powerful trends are at work in the Japanese economy and the catalyst for the turn have already taken place.

Inflation is coming back, exports are growing again, consumption is surprising on the upside and the huge pool of savings will finally move out of cash into riskier assets as inflation makes interest rates climb gradually over the next quarters.

The Japanese stock market lingers at levels last seen in 1984 after having bottomed out twice at the same level in five years and the technical configuration is extremely positive. Japan has been the unloved market for a decade and both domestic and international investors are heavily underweighted this extremely cheap equity market.

The current level of 11 000 is a unique entry point for long term investors and we expect earnings growth to support the beginning of a strategic and structural re-building of exposure to this market.

in 2010, our target is 17 000 for the Nikkei 225, a + 54 % appreciation from here, while the Japanese Yen should fall from the current level of 93 to 111 against the USD.

in Q1 2010, the Nikkei recorded + 5.6 % performance and March alone saw the market rise by +9.5 %.

the 788 Japan Fund fully benefitted from this move, recording a + 34.4 % performance, thanks to the good timing of the entry point and the appropriate use of our leveraging capabilities.

our fund should deliver a spectacular performance in 2010.

31st MARCH 2010

 

TECHNICAL VIEWS

Major Break in the 2007 trend in the Japanese Yen, after the completion of te three bear phases and an unsuccesfull testing of the 1995 high.

Same picture with the Nikkei 225, major break out to the upside after having tested the 2003 low and trading at 1984 levels. target for the new bull phase is 17 000, it could be completed in one single year if our prediction on the Japanese Yen proves to be right.

 

MACRO VIEWS

Coming back from hell, the Japanese economy is displaying a number of interesting trends at the moment and signs of strength are plenty.

Vehicle sales was up +35 % yoy in FEB 10 and +37 % in MAR, Machine tool orders were up 262 % yoy in MAR, the annualized GDP was up 3.8 % in Q4 2009 and although the dfelator is stil in negative at -2.8 % yoy, it is actually rising quite fast and is positive on a month to month basis. Industrial production is up +31% yoy  in February, Tokyo condominium sales are up +10.7 % yoy in FEB10 and the ALL INDUSTRY Activity Index is up 3.8 % mom, Retail trade is up +4.2 % YOY and +0.9 % MOM, Finally, Vehicle production is up 74.9 % YOY in FEB, a record in Japan's history.

The Japanese economy is far from being out of the woods and is still mired in deep deflation afetr 20 years of unwinding of the debt accumulated in the 1980's, however the turning of these series and the fact that the stock market held up well in the face of extremely severe economic conditions in 2009 lead us to conclude that these trends are turning for good and under their own dynamics.

 

 
folder   ABOUT THE
FUND
 
 
 
Management Fee 2%
Incentive Fee 20%
High Water Mark 1
Subscription Quarterly
Redemption Quarterly
Redemption Notice 5 day
   
 
Currency USD
Reporting Frequency Quarterly
Investor Type INSTITUTIONS
Minimum Account 100 000
Strategy Details JAPAN large caps
Lockup None
   
 
Advisor Michel Artaud
Domicile Cayman Islands
Portfolio Manager Michel Artaud
Custodian Bank of China ( Suisse ) SA
Bloomberg Ticker 788JAPA KY
Valor Sedol BOTOH32 IE
ISIN KYG8056J1076
 
monthly-cal   QUARTERLY NET PERFORMANCE
(USD)
 
 
Year Mar JunSep Dec Yearly
 
2010 + 34.42% + 34.42%2010
 
2009 -18.3%+ 43.52%-26.74%-3.6% -17.17%2009
 
2008 -26.8%-9.69%-51.76%-66.22% -89.23%2008
 
2007 + 5.75%-3.98%-2.05%+ 17.17% + 16.54%2007
 
2006 -4.99%+ 8.46%+ 9.33%-5.56% + 6.39%2006
 
 
31st MARCH 2009+34.42% NAV14.84
 

788 LEVERAGED JAPAN FUND LTD

The objective of the 788 Leveraged Japan Fund is to achieve MAXIMUM PERFORMANCE by investing in Japanese equities and Japanese related financial markets using leverage.

The 788 Leveraged Japan Fund is designed to provide global investors with a unique vehicle through which they can invest in Japan, with the benefits of an intrinsic leverage.

The Fund is constructed as a Maximum Return Fund. It is not linked to any particular benchmark.

A key feature of the Fund is the Manager’s ability to be hedged or go in cash in the event of extreme market conditions, in order to preserve the assets of the Fund.

However, investors should be fully aware of the Intrinsically HIGH VOLATILITY of the fund.

The 788 Leveraged Japan Fund Ltd offers three unique characteristics:
  • A Core exposure to the Japanese equity market as up to 80 % of the assets are invested in indexes or trackers
  • Non Benchmarked; the manager is free to invest in markets and market segments offering the best risk/reward profile without the constraint of tracking error management
  • Leverage, the fund can be leveraged up to 3 to 1.

As such, the 788 Leveraged Japan Fund is probably the only directional funds investing in Japanese equities offering the benefits of three times Leverage.

Investment Manager 788 Asset Management Ltd Currency USD Management Fees 2%
Sub-Advisor Michel Artaud Liquidity Quarterly Performance Fees 20%
Administrator UBS Fund Services (Cayman) Minimum initial amount USD 100,000 High Water Mark Yes
Custodian Bank Bank of China (Suisse) SA Additional amount USD 50,000 ISIN Code KYG8056J1076
Domicile Cayman Islands Lock-up None Bloomberg Ticker 788JAPA KY

 

 As at 31st MARCH 2010, the 788 Leveraged Japan Fund has a net leverage of 3x, and its exposure was concentrated on Nikkei Future contracts. No individual position is bought at this stage. The Fund is also short the Japanese YEN and long the HKD.

We belive Japan has actually turned the page of its 20 years of deflation and is now strating an long wave up form extremely depressed levels. The economy is recovering faster than most commentators belive and although Japn is still in Deflation, the trend has decisevely changed and inflation will come back to the system in the next few quarters.

As we expected, both the JPY and the NKY index turned markedly, after having bottomed at their previous 1995 LOWS/HIGHS.

Japan will be one of the best performer in 2010 and we expect the JPY to depreciate by -20 % against the USD to 111, and the Nikkei to recah 16 000, a +45 % appreciation form the current 11 000 level.

31st March 2010

JPY Short Term

 

JPY Long Term

 

Nikkei 225  Long Term

 
folder 2009 DOCUMENTS 
 
 
DateNameDownload
6/30/2009 12:00:00 AM788 Japan Monthly comment June 2009.pdfarrow
4/15/2009 12:00:00 AMJAPANESE MARKET COMMENT MARCH 2009.pdfarrow
1/1/2009 12:00:00 AM788 Leveraged Japan Fund OM March 2009.pdfarrow
 
folder 2008 DOCUMENTS 
 
 
DateNameDownload
12/31/2008 12:00:00 AM788 Japan Monthly December 2008.pdfarrow
 
folder 2007 DOCUMENTS 
 
 
DateNameDownload
12/31/2007 12:00:00 AM788 Japan Monthly Dec 07.pdfarrow