788 Leveraged Global Asset Allocation Fund

NAV and Performance  as at   31st MARCH 2010       108.84     + 50.60 % Year to Date

MANAGER'S COMMENT 

Despite flat equity and bond markets over the first quarter of 2010, the 788 Global asset Allcation Fund has recovered strongly in Q1 2010 recording + 50.60 % net over the quarter.  At NAV of 108.84, most investors are back in the black and the fund is just a tad above the performance of the MSCI World equity market and the S&P500 since its inception.

The performance was achieved by having good market timing in a quarter that saw a sharp correction in equity markets in February and a strong recovery in March. Good timing in building up exposure on Japan ( +9.5 % in March ) and on Chinese equities ( -3.5 % in Q1 2010 ) as well as a good timing on the expected turn in the USD yielded the positive results.

Looking ahead for the rest of 2010, the Western econômies are charaterized by DEFLATION in the real economies, particularly in the US, and INFLATION in the financial markets, fueled by quasi zero nominal interest rates. In addition, the Chinese economy is powering ahead thanks to Goldilocks conditions, strong economic growth, strong consumption, strong investments, massive money supply growth, strong bank lending and a recovery in exports.

We expect  Chinese H - shares to appreciate by +70 % over the next 9 moths on the back of record earnings growth, massively positive liquidity conditions and valuation expansion on the back of strong inflationnary pressures. China's inflation will explode upwards to 6 % in Q3 forcing the hand of the Government to let the RMB appreciate.

One of the most important structural phenomenon is that JAPAN is pulling out of its 20 years deflationary conditions and is starting a new long term phase of growth and market appreciation. The Japanese Yen has turned decisively and should depreciate towards 111 in 2010 while consumption, exports and inflation come back to the system in  virtuous cycle.

At 11 000 the Nikkei 225 trades at the same level as in 1984 after having bottomed out twice and both local and international investors being massively underweighted this cheap market.

All in all, 2010 should prove to be  abumper year for these  Asian markets while US tReasury bonds are offering exceptional value at yields of 4.78 % when US inflation will move into negative over the year. we expect a susbtantial rally in the long end of the US Treasury market starting in June 2010.as the market consensus suddenly realizes that DEFLATION is there rather than the expected inflation.

Commodities are at risk as financial players are again dominating this space rather than the ultimate supply/demand. Failure of Gold, Oil and Copper to make new highs rapidly would trigger a massive sell-off. This is the msot dangerous area of the financial marekts at the moment and we stay well clear of it.

31st March 2010

 

 
folder   ABOUT THE
FUND
 
 
 
Management Fee 1.5%
Incentive Fee 20%
High Water Mark 1
Subscription Quarterly
Redemption Quarterly
Redemption Notice 1 day
   
 
Currency USD
Reporting Frequency Quarterly
Investor Type INSTITUTIONS
Minimum Account 100 000
Strategy Details Global Macro
Lockup None
   
 
Advisor Michel Artaud
Domicile Cayman Islands
Portfolio Manager Michel Artaud
Custodian Bank of China (Suisse) SA
Bloomberg Ticker 788GAAF KY
Valor SEDOL B161k03 IE
ISIN KYG8055G1047
 
monthly-cal   QUARTERLY NET PERFORMANCE
(USD)
 
 
Year Mar JunSep Dec Yearly
 
2010 + 50.6% + 50.6%2010
 
2009 -8.9%+ 82.84%-25.29%-35.14% -19.28%2009
 
2008 -25.64%-18.99%-4.37%+ 8.23% -37.7%2008
 
2007 -6.12%+ 3.17%+ 7.57%+ 17.91% + 22.9%2007
 
2006 -8.28%-1.72%+ 18.95%+ 0.45% + 7.7%2006
 
2005 + 0.65%+ 4.67%-0.24%+ 1.38% + 6.6%2005
 
2004 + 5.59%-8.23%+ 7.17%+ 2.21% + 6.2%2004
 
2003 + 5.27%+ 13.75%+ 5.45%+ 4.48% + 31.39%2003
 
2002 + 0.28%-2.2%+ 6.42%+ 9.3% + 14.1%2002
 
2001 + 5.47%+ 0.03%+ 3.83%+ 4.66% + 14.7%2001
 
2000 + 7.84%+ 1.62%+ 2.76%+ 8.26% + 21.9%2000
 
 
31st March 2010+50.6% NAV108.84
 

The objective of the 788 Leveraged Global Asset Allocation Fund Ltd. is to achieve MAXIMUM PERFORMANCE regardless of market conditions by investing in the global financial markets using a top-down, macro-economic and asset allocation process and leverage.

The Fund invests in bonds, equities, indices, commodities and currencies with a large preference for Futures contracts. It concentrates on achieving MAXIMUM ABSOLUTE RETURNS and does not intend to replicate any particular benchmark or asset allocation weighting.

A key feature of the Fund is the Manager’s ability to be hedged or go in cash in the event of extreme market conditions, in order to preserve the assets of the Fund.

However, Investors should be fully aware of the INTRINSICALLY HIGH VOLATILITY  of the fund.
    
The Fund aims at achieving four cumulative objectives:

•    Outperform USD Money Market Rates
•    Outperform US inflation Rates
•    Achieve 7% to 12% IRR net of all fees
•    Outperform each and every asset class over the long run and three year rolling periods.


The 788 Leveraged Global Asset Allocation Fund is a unique vehicle to deliver long term growth for investors that are willing to accept higher than average volatility.  

It is managed as a private fund with a large share of the assets held by the managers themselves.

 

 As at 31st March 2010, the 788 Leveraged Global Asset Allocation Fund had a Leverage of 2.78 x, and was mainly geared towards Japanese equities and Chinese H-shares while maintaining a long HKD bias.

The fund is managed mainly through Index futures contracts with a very agile positionning and tight stop losses.

The manager is very positive on the two said markets. the breakout of the Japanese Yen is extermely favorable to the Nikkei and the HKD should be deppeged from the USD to be pegged 1 to 1 to the RMB BEFORE the RMB is allowed to rise.

NIKKEI 225  Monthly

 

JPY Currency - Major Break out after complete bear phase  - 3 legs - since August 2007 : target 111

 

H-SHARES  HSCEI Index  - Daily : major break out in the making

folder 2009 DOCUMENTS 
 
 
DateNameDownload
3/1/2009 12:00:00 AM788 Leveraged GAAF OM March 2009.pdfarrow
 
folder 2008 DOCUMENTS 
 
 
DateNameDownload
12/31/2008 12:00:00 AM788 GAAF December 08.pdfarrow
 
folder 2007 DOCUMENTS 
 
 
DateNameDownload
12/31/2007 12:00:00 AM788 GAAF December 2007.pdfarrow